BUD FOX RESEARCH · MAGNIFICENT SEVEN
Mag7 Desk Note #76
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4, 2026
OPEN PREVIEWDESK NOTE 076 · 04 SEPT 2026 · 07:57 ET
Published 7:57 AM ET · Market data through 7:57 AM ET
Leadership
TSLA strongest trend · META cleanest relative
Positioning
5/7 ABOVE EMA20 · 11% AVG CONV
Risk
2/7 BELOW EMA20 · GOOGL WEAKEST RELATIVE
Watch
NVDA +4.7% vs EMA20
Deltas
Since last note
- NEW AAPL: Apple possessed the ultimate stock-market superpower under Tim Cook. Can its new CEO step up?
Desk Synthesis
Executive Takeaway
The AI trade is bifurcating between structure and tape, and structure wins. Combined tracked CapEx of $947.7B (~$319.5B AI-attributed) plus TSMC output still accelerating YoY overrides the wafer-fab-equipment selloff — that is hedging and rotation, not an order-book crack. But every name prints NEUTRAL with conviction ≤31%: respect existing trends, don't initiate size. Breadth is healthy (5 of 7 above EMA20) with RSI penned in 47.8–66.1 — nothing broken, nothing stretched.
Positioning
- Leadership is NVDA and META. NVDA beats AMD/AVGO by 9.1pp at the 89th 52w percentile with IV30 below realized (−4.3 pts) — optionality is cheap where the move is. META outruns GOOGL/SNAP from a 33rd-percentile base: the least crowded leadership in the group.
- Where the tape is calm, vol is expensive: AAPL/MSFT/GOOGL/AMZN carry IV30 11–18 pts over realized. Fund exposure by selling richness there, not by paying up in NVDA/TSLA.
- GOOGL is the divergence to accumulate on stabilization above EMA20, not chase: largest CapEx line at $185.0B yet lagging META/MSFT by 5.2pp, and the only Mag7 with short interest rising (+3.1%).
- AMZN's softness is sector-wide, not share loss — in-line with WMT/COST. Don't confuse the two.
Key Risks
- TSLA is the false comfort: +5.42% on 1.82x RVOL against 0% conviction is a demo-day print, not a re-rate. Trim into strength.
- 10Y at 4.79% with CPI +3.54% YoY and WTI +17.4% over 21d caps multiple expansion; VIX at 15.20 is complacency, not safety.
- Data caveats to flag: TSMC monthly revenue levels print as zero (only YoY is usable), hyperscaler CapEx was unavailable this refresh yet the feed asserts 5/5 cutting QoQ — treat that cut claim as unverified. GOOGL's put leg is missing, so its 0.00 P/C is not a signal.
Watch
NVDA · CapexIndex combined $947.7B, TSMC +44.7% YoY vs AMAT −18.3%/KLAC −10.2% over 21d — plus Friday's August payrolls through the 10Y: a hot print is the single input that breaks the low-vol trend regime across all seven at once.
What Changed
First issue in this series.
Universe
Magnificent Seven · 7 names
SOURCE Yahoo Finance · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:57 ET
Price = daily close · vs SPY = 24h relative · equity as of Sep 4, 7:57 AM ET · options as of Sep 4, 7:56 AM ET
| Symbol | Price | Trend | RSI | RVOL | RV20 | IV30 | IV−RV | Skew | vs SPY | Conv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 328.21 | +3.7% | 63.4 | 0.93x | 19.1 | 30.0 | +11.0 | — | -0.05% | 7% |
| MSFT | 510.12 | +4.3% | 66.1 | 1.00x | 22.1 | 39.9 | +17.8 | — | +1.63% | 18% |
| GOOGL | 342.48 | -0.4% | 47.8 | 0.93x | 21.6 | 36.6 | +15.0 | — | +0.54% | 10% |
| AMZN | 258.90 | -0.3% | 49.9 | 0.81x | 26.8 | 37.7 | +11.0 | — | +0.49% | 0% |
| NVDA | 228.45 | +4.7% | 59.2 | 1.06x | 45.4 | 41.1 | -4.3 | — | +0.75% | 31% |
| META | 610.68 | +5.3% | 60.7 | 1.28x | 32.9 | 36.7 | +3.8 | — | +1.96% | 9% |
| TSLA | 376.37 | +7.0% | 60.5 | 1.82x | 45.0 | 42.7 | -2.3 | — | +4.38% | 0% |
Community
TradingView strategies · Mag7 · 7
SOURCE TradingView · PineTS · AS OF 01 SEPT 2026 22:55 ET
1y daily · TV community Pine · PineTS Mag7 backtest
| Strategy | Sharpe | Return | Beat B&H | Max DD | Mag7 | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - strategy [presentTrading] | -0.12 | -3.0% | 2/7 | 24.1% | AAPL-2.6%MSFT-16.4%GOOGL+27.5%AMZN-7.4%NVDA+10.7%META-21.0%TSLA-12.0% | MIXED |
| SuperTrend Strategy with Rsi filter for BTCUSD 4H | -0.16 | -5.5% | 2/7 | 31.8% | AAPL+6.5%MSFT+16.2%GOOGL+4.8%AMZN-30.7%NVDA-26.7%META-2.9%TSLA— | SHORT |
| Strategy: HMA 50 + Supertrend Sniper | -0.18 | -15.7% | 1/7 | 39.0% | AAPL+0.0%MSFT-5.9%GOOGL-14.5%AMZN-22.9%NVDA-23.5%META-33.2%TSLA-10.0% | MIXED |
| SuperTrended Moving Averages Strategy | -0.23 | -4.3% | 2/7 | 23.3% | AAPL+10.7%MSFT-8.8%GOOGL-23.0%AMZN-4.9%NVDA-2.1%META+8.0%TSLA-9.7% | SHORT |
| Strategic Multi-Step Supertrend Trader - Strategy [presentTrading] | -0.44 | -0.8% | 3/7 | 6.0% | AAPL-1.0%MSFT+0.1%GOOGL+1.8%AMZN-4.6%NVDA-2.9%META-1.7%TSLA+2.8% | MIXED |
| Elliott Wave with Supertrend Exit - Strategy [presentTrading] | -0.83 | -0.9% | 1/7 | 2.0% | AAPL-0.4%MSFT-1.1%GOOGL-2.0%AMZN-0.1%NVDA—META-1.0%TSLA— | SHORT |
| AI Volume Supertrend - Strategy [presentTrading] | -1.24 | -11.7% | 1/7 | 14.2% | AAPL-13.8%MSFT-10.3%GOOGL-12.7%AMZN-11.9%NVDA-13.0%META-8.4%TSLA-11.6% | SHORT |
Quantitative approximations derived from community-authored TradingView scripts across the Mag7 universe. Execution results are simulated and may not reflect live platform fills. Not investment advice.
Macro
US macro + FX · 13 series
SOURCE FRED · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
| Series | Label | Latest | Change | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFF | Fed funds effective | 3.63% | +0.00 | 2026-09-02 LAGGED |
| DGS2 | 2Y Treasury | 4.39% | +0.00 | 2026-09-02 LAGGED |
| DGS10 | 10Y Treasury | 4.79% | +0.00 | 2026-09-02 LAGGED |
| T10Y2Y | 10Y–2Y spread | 0.43% | +0.03 | 2026-09-03 |
| T10YIE | 10Y breakeven inflation | 2.35% | +0.01 | 2026-09-03 |
| BAMLH0A0HYM2 | HY OAS | 2.66% | +0.01 | 2026-09-02 LAGGED |
| UNRATE | Unemployment rate | 4.10% | -0.10 | 2026-07-01 LAGGED |
| CPIAUCSL | CPI (all urban, SA) | 332.8 | +3.54% YoY | 2026-07-01 LAGGED |
| DTWEXBGS | Broad USD index | 118.7 | +0.39 | 2026-08-28 LAGGED |
| DEXUSEU | EURUSD | 1.1598 | -0.0056 | 2026-08-28 LAGGED |
| DEXJPUS | USDJPY | 159.97 | +0.71 | 2026-08-28 LAGGED |
| DEXCHUS | USDCNY (CNH proxy) | 6.7260 | +0.0062 | 2026-08-28 LAGGED |
| VIXCLS | VIX | 15.20 | -1.14 | 2026-09-02 LAGGED |
Metals
Precious & auto metals · 5
SOURCE Yahoo Finance · Futures · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Pt / Pd / Ag / Au + Cu
| ID | Metal | Price | 1d | 5d | 21d | Auto relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL | Platinum | $1,815.2 | -0.72% | -1.75% | +4.99% | Catalytic converters (ICE); cost input for auto OEMs / suppliers |
| PA | Palladium | $1,424 | -0.13% | -0.32% | +3.72% | Gasoline catalytic converters; sharp moves hit auto input costs |
| SI | Silver | $67.45 | +0.71% | +0.68% | +9.78% | Electronics / EV contacts; industrial demand proxy |
| GC | Gold | $4,515.2 | +0.52% | +0.83% | +6.44% | Macro risk / real-rate proxy; can affect auto valuation multiples |
| HG | Copper | $6.6625 | +1.30% | +1.53% | -0.37% | EV wiring / motors; not precious but core auto cost input |
Power
Power & energy · 9
SOURCE Yahoo Finance · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Oil / gas / utilities / uranium for AI & industrial power costs
| ID | Name | Price | 1d | 5d | 21d | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CL | WTI crude | $90.76 | -0.59% | +8.82% | +17.43% | Oil complex; logistics & broader industrial cost pressure |
| BZ | Brent crude | $95.16 | -0.38% | +6.55% | +15.36% | Global oil benchmark; energy inflation proxy |
| NG | Natural gas | $2.944 | +1.06% | +1.94% | +11.52% | US power-gen feedstock; data-center / utility cost sensitivity |
| XLU | Utilities ETF | 43.03 | +0.84% | -0.35% | -1.44% | Grid / power-utility equity basket; AI power demand narrative |
| URA | Uranium ETF | 45.70 | +3.11% | -5.52% | +6.55% | Nuclear fuel chain; long-duration AI power buildout proxy |
| XLE | Energy Select ETF | 64.62 | -0.74% | +3.74% | +12.76% | Integrated energy equity beta |
| EQIX | Equinix | $1,040.8 | +2.12% | -3.31% | -0.98% | Datacenter REIT — colo capacity / interconnection demand proxy |
| DLR | Digital Realty | $187.79 | +2.19% | -2.24% | -3.66% | Hyperscale datacenter real-estate / power shell deployment |
| VRT | Vertiv | $268.83 | +4.73% | -0.17% | -3.28% | Datacenter power & thermal infrastructure orders |
Semis
Semiconductor supply chain · 6
SOURCE Yahoo Finance · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Foundry + equipment bottleneck tape
| ID | Name | Price | 1d | 5d | 21d | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | Semi ETF (SMH) | 552.60 | +0.39% | -3.56% | -3.00% | Broad semiconductor supply-chain beta |
| TSM | TSMC | $417.01 | +0.36% | -2.41% | +0.73% | Leading-edge foundry capacity for NVDA / Apple / AMD |
| ASML | ASML | $1,646.2 | -2.15% | -5.12% | -1.91% | EUV lithography bottleneck for advanced nodes |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | $435.91 | -0.58% | -9.63% | -18.32% | Wafer fab equipment — deposition / etch / CMP |
| LRCX | Lam Research | $292.66 | +1.51% | -8.14% | -4.80% | Etch / deposition equipment for logic & memory |
| KLAC | KLA | $172.94 | +0.39% | -5.89% | -10.20% | Process control / inspection — yield bottleneck |
Gases
Specialty gases · 3
SOURCE Yahoo Finance · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Industrial-gas proxies for fab specialty gases
| ID | Name | Price | 1d | 5d | 21d | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIN | Linde | $482.19 | -0.75% | -0.32% | -1.48% | Largest industrial gas franchise; fab specialty-gas exposure |
| APD | Air Products | $304.22 | -1.69% | -0.41% | +3.09% | Hydrogen / electronic gases for semiconductors & refining |
| AIQUY | Air Liquide ADR | $40.13 | +0.43% | +3.40% | +0.15% | Electronics / specialty gases for chip manufacturing |
News
Mag7 headlines · 7
SOURCE News wire · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
| Symbol | Name | Headlines |
|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | |
| GOOGL | Alphabet | |
| AMZN | Amazon | |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | |
| META | Meta | |
| TSLA | Tesla |
News
Front-page semantics · 5
SOURCE Front-page wire · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
CNBC · FT · TipRanks · TheStreet · Fool · CNN · Fox Business
Today's Mag7 news is dominated by AI developments, with OpenAI claiming a lead in AI models and analysts identifying upside in certain AI-related stocks. Macroeconomic factors like the upcoming jobs report are also influencing market sentiment. NVIDIA is particularly in focus due to a significant acquisition.
| Urgency | Theme | Story | Mag7 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGH | AI/chips | OpenAI says it has overtaken Anthropic with its latest AI model | GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA, META | Financial Times |
| HIGH | AI/chips | Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Rises as Analysts Hail ‘Strategically Valuable’ $12.93B Hugging Face Acquisition | NVDA | TipRanks |
| HIGH | Fed/macro | Stock Market News Today, 9/4/2026 – Futures Wobble as Markets Brace for Jobs Report | ALL | TipRanks |
| MEDIUM | AI/chips | Overvalued AI Stocks? Analysts See Upside in These 3 High P/E Names | NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, META | TipRanks |
| MEDIUM | AI/chips | Michael Burry doubles down on his surprising AI bet | NVDA | TheStreet |
Influencers
Donald J. Trump · Truth Social · 7
SOURCE Trump's Truth · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
| Symbol | Name | Date | Latest Truth |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple | September 2, 2026, 4:09 PM | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | August 10, 2024, 11:01 PM | |
| GOOGL | Alphabet | August 30, 2026, 5:36 PM | |
| AMZN | Amazon | December 30, 2025, 4:18 PM | |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | September 1, 2026, 3:39 PM | |
| META | Meta | February 9, 2023, 1:46 PM | |
| TSLA | Tesla | March 11, 2025, 4:12 PM |
Options
Mag7 options · 7
SOURCE Options · Massive · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:56 ET
Front expiry ATM IV · put/call
| Symbol | Spot | Expiry | ATM IV | P/C vol | P/C OI | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 324.96 | 2026-10-02 | 30.0% | 0.79 | — | — |
| MSFT | 496.82 | 2026-10-02 | 39.9% | 0.53 | — | — |
| GOOGL | 337.12 | 2026-10-02 | 36.6% | 0.00 | — | — |
| AMZN | 254.98 | 2026-10-02 | 37.7% | 0.36 | — | — |
| NVDA | 223.96 | 2026-09-04 | 41.1% | 0.12 | — | — |
| META | 592.10 | 2026-09-04 | 36.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| TSLA | 328.58 | 2026-09-04 | 42.7% | 0.13 | — | — |
Alt data
Congress trades · Mag7 · 20
SOURCE Capitol Trades · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
STOCK Act disclosures
| Symbol | Side | Range | Member | Party / chamber | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | sell | 15K–50K | Sheldon Whitehouse | Democrat · Senate | 2026-08-12 |
| GOOGL | sell | 100K–250K | Chris Coons | Democrat · Senate | 2026-08-06 |
| AMZN | buy | 1K–15K | Jared Moskowitz | Democrat · House | 2026-07-12 |
| NVDA | sell | 1K–15K | Jared Moskowitz | Democrat · House | 2026-07-12 |
| META | sell | 1K–15K | Jared Moskowitz | Democrat · House | 2026-07-12 |
| AAPL | buy | 50K–100K | Dave McCormick | Republican · Senate | 2026-08-18 |
| AAPL | buy | 250K–500K | Dave McCormick | Republican · Senate | 2026-08-17 |
| AAPL | buy | 100K–250K | Dave McCormick | Republican · Senate | 2026-08-16 |
| AAPL | buy | 100K–250K | Dave McCormick | Republican · Senate | 2026-08-11 |
| AAPL | buy | 250K–500K | Dave McCormick | Republican · Senate | 2026-08-09 |
| AAPL | sell | 100K–250K | Shri Thanedar | Democrat · House | 2026-01-08 |
| AAPL | buy | 1K–15K | Tracey Mann | Republican · House | 2024-08-19 |
| GOOGL | buy | 1K–15K | Tracey Mann | Republican · House | 2024-08-19 |
| GOOGL | buy | 1K–15K | David Taylor | Republican · House | 2026-08-21 |
| MSFT | sell | 15K–50K | David Taylor | Republican · House | 2026-08-21 |
| AAPL | buy | 1K–15K | Richard Blumenthal | Democrat · Senate | 2026-08-10 |
| AAPL | buy | 1K–15K | Richard Blumenthal | Democrat · Senate | 2026-08-09 |
| AMZN | sell | 1K–15K | Sheldon Whitehouse | Democrat · Senate | 2026-08-11 |
| AAPL | sell | 1K–15K | John McGuire | Republican · House | 2026-08-17 |
| NVDA | buy | 1K–15K | John McGuire | Republican · House | 2026-08-17 |
Alt data
Insider trades · Mag7 · 20
SOURCE SEC EDGAR · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Open-market purchases / sales
| Symbol | Side | Shares | Price | Filer | Title | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Sale | 1,439 | 317.01 | Newstead Jennifer | SVP, GC and Government Affairs | 2026-09-01 |
| AMZN | Sale | 1,000 | 254.77 | Herrington Douglas J | CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 1,040 | 498.24 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 5,080 | 499.45 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 24,723 | 500.47 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 32,901 | 501.12 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 4,520 | 502.29 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 7,067 | 503.44 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 9,834 | 504.11 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| MSFT | Sale | 1,360 | 505.20 | Nadella Satya | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-09-01 |
| NVDA | Sale | 447,400 | 220.10 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-08-31 |
| NVDA | Sale | 137,600 | 220.91 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-08-31 |
| NVDA | Sale | 63,501 | 220.06 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-09-01 |
| NVDA | Sale | 300,000 | 220.08 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-09-02 |
| NVDA | Sale | 300,000 | 222.92 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-09-02 |
| NVDA | Sale | 300,000 | 224.07 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-09-02 |
| NVDA | Sale | 300,000 | 226.27 | STEVENS MARK A | — | 2026-09-02 |
| NVDA | Sale | 6,692 | 216.84 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | 2026-08-31 |
| NVDA | Sale | 13,913 | 217.95 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | 2026-08-31 |
| NVDA | Sale | 9,395 | 218.53 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | 2026-08-31 |
Alt data
Short interest · Mag7 · 7
SOURCE Short interest · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Days to cover = SI ÷ ADV
| Symbol | Short interest | ADV | Days to cover | Δ SI | Settlement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 116.33M | 46.07M | 2.53 | -17.9% | 2026-08-14 |
| MSFT | 68.54M | 33.44M | 2.05 | -15.7% | 2026-08-14 |
| GOOGL | 72.71M | 27.23M | 2.67 | +3.1% | 2026-08-14 |
| AMZN | 95.30M | 42.07M | 2.27 | -3.2% | 2026-08-14 |
| NVDA | 285.96M | 113.58M | 2.52 | -2.3% | 2026-08-14 |
| META | 28.05M | 14.46M | 1.94 | -10.8% | 2026-08-14 |
| TSLA | 69.20M | 32.13M | 2.15 | +1.0% | 2026-08-14 |
Calendar
Earnings · Mag7 · 5
SOURCE Finnhub · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
Window 2026-08-21 → 2026-11-03 · EPS actual / estimate
| Symbol | Date | Timing | Session | Period | EPS A/E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | 2026-10-27 | In 53d | — | Q1 2027 | — / 4.82 |
| GOOGL | 2026-10-27 | In 53d | AMC | Q3 2026 | — / 3.11 |
| META | 2026-10-27 | In 53d | AMC | Q3 2026 | — / 6.66 |
| AAPL | 2026-10-28 | In 54d | AMC | Q4 2026 | — / 2.02 |
| AMZN | 2026-10-28 | In 54d | AMC | Q3 2026 | — / 1.99 |
| NVDA | No print in window | ||||
| TSLA | No print in window | ||||
Comps
Competitive peers · Mag7 · 7
SOURCE Competitive peers · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:55 ET
| Primary | Price | Trend | Peer 1 | Price | Trend | RVOL | Peer 2 | Price | Trend | RVOL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 328.21 | +3.7% | MSFT | 510.12 | +4.3% | 1.00x | GOOGL | 342.48 | -0.4% | 0.93x | Platform + consumer software peers |
| MSFT | 510.12 | +4.3% | GOOGL | 342.48 | -0.4% | 0.93x | AMZN | 258.90 | -0.3% | 0.81x | Cloud / enterprise software peers |
| GOOGL | 342.48 | -0.4% | META | 610.68 | +5.3% | 1.28x | MSFT | 510.12 | +4.3% | 1.00x | Ad platforms + cloud peers |
| AMZN | 258.90 | -0.3% | WMT | 108.42 | +0.4% | 0.92x | COST | 925.41 | -2.1% | 1.25x | Commerce / retail scale peers |
| NVDA | 228.45 | +4.7% | AMD | 456.16 | -3.9% | 0.81x | AVGO | 357.16 | -4.8% | 2.97x | AI / semiconductor peers |
| META | 610.68 | +5.3% | GOOGL | 342.48 | -0.4% | 0.93x | SNAP | 5.70 | +6.1% | 1.01x | Social / digital ads peers |
| TSLA | 376.37 | +7.0% | GM | 87.22 | +1.4% | 1.02x | F | 14.41 | +2.3% | 0.99x | Auto / EV peers |
Patents
USPTO · Mag7 · 21 grants
SOURCE USPTO · AS OF 04 SEPT 2026 07:56 ET
| Symbol | Granted | Age | Patent | Title | Assignee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | 2026-05-19 | 4mo ago | US12632461B2 | Application prediction based on a visual search determination | Google LLC |
| AAPL | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | USD1126244S1 | Display screen or portion thereof with animated graphical user interface | Apple Inc |
| GOOGL | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | US12625895B2 | Generating a personal database entry for a user based on natural language user … | Google LLC |
| GOOGL | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | US12625918B2 | Automatic navigation of interactive web documents | Google Llc |
| AMZN | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | USD1125979S1 | Wall mount | Amazon Technologies, Inc |
| MSFT | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | US12627818B2 | Constraints on locations of reference blocks for intra block copy prediction | Microsoft Technology Licensing, Llc |
| META | 2026-05-12 | 4mo ago | US12625557B2 | Detecting head gestures using inertial measurement unit signals | Meta Platforms, Inc |
| AAPL | 2026-05-05 | 4mo ago | USD1125246S1 | Display screen or portion thereof with icon | Apple Inc |
| NVDA | 2026-05-05 | 4mo ago | US12619596B2 | Automatical generation and maintenance of data cards for datasets | Nvidia Corporation |
| GOOGL | 2026-04-28 | 4mo ago | US12613915B2 | Structured video documents | Google LLC |
| AMZN | 2026-04-28 | 4mo ago | USD1123902S1 | Electronic device | Amazon Technologies, Inc |
| AMZN | 2026-04-28 | 4mo ago | USJPCAUSD1123902S1 | Electronic device | Amazon Technologies, Inc. |
| GOOGL | 2026-04-21 | 5mo ago | US12608369B2 | Methods, systems, and computer readable media related to generating a combined search query based on search parameters of a current search query of a user and search parameters of one or more previously submitted search queries of the user that are determined to be of the same line of inquiry as … | Google Llc |
| META | 2026-04-21 | 5mo ago | US12608435B2 | Accessing content via a logged-out experience | Meta Platforms, Inc |
| AMZN | 2026-04-14 | 5mo ago | USD1122257S1 | Electronic device | Amazon Technologies, Inc |
| NVDA | 2026-04-14 | 5mo ago | US12602332B1 | Distributed page table, memory map and routing table for multiple node processing | NVIDIA Corporation |
| AMZN | 2026-04-07 | 5mo ago | USD1121603S1 | Wireless connectivity device | Amazon Technologies, Inc |
| META | 2026-04-07 | 5mo ago | US12597444B2 | Systems and methods for automated digital editing | Meta Platforms, Inc |
| AAPL | 2026-04-07 | 5mo ago | USD1121665S1 | Display screen or portion thereof with a group of graphical user interfaces | Apple Inc |
| AMZN | 2026-04-07 | 5mo ago | USD1121705S1 | Camera mount | Amazon Technologies, Inc |
| NVDA | 2026-04-07 | 5mo ago | US12596148B1 | Jitter injection generator for measuring phase noise and jitter transfer functions | NVIDIA Corporation |
Forward look
Stock Prediction for Tomorrow
Summary
Low-vol grind with healthy breadth — 5 of 7 above EMA20, RSI penned 47.8–66.1, VIX 15.20 — but every name prints NEUTRAL with conviction ≤31%, so this is a respect-the-trend session, not an initiate-size one. Dominant catalyst is the August payrolls print routing through a 4.79% 10Y with CPI +3.54% YoY; futures already wobbling into it. Structure (CapexIndex $947.7B combined, ~$319.5B AI-attributed; TSMC +44.7% YoY) overrides the WFE selloff in AMAT/KLAC.
Mag7 Calls
- AAPL · Flat · low — +3.7% vs EMA20 and RSI 63.4 at the 86th 52w percentile, but RVOL 0.93x, gap -0.03% and IV30 30.0% vs RV20 19.1% (+11 pts) say premium is rich and drift is done; McCormick's repeat buys offset Newstead's Form 4 sale.
- MSFT · Up · medium — Best relative strength in the group (+4.7pp vs GOOGL/AMZN), +2.68% 24h on 1.00x RVOL, +0.97% gap and $101.9B CapEx headline; Nadella's ~$43M sale is scheduled supply, not a signal.
- GOOGL · Up · low — Below EMA20 (-0.4%) with RSI 47.8 but +1.59% 24h and a +1.02% gap off the largest CapEx line at $185.0B; lagging META/MSFT by 5.2pp with SI +3.1% makes it the squeeze candidate — note the missing put leg voids its 0.00 P/C.
- AMZN · Flat · medium — 0% conviction, RVOL 0.81x, RSI 49.9, trend -0.3% vs EMA20; in-line with WMT/COST means sector softness, not share loss, and IV30 37.7% vs RV20 26.8% caps the move.
- META · Up · medium — Cleanest leadership: +5.3% vs EMA20, +3.01% 24h on 1.28x RVOL, beating GOOGL/SNAP by 2.4pp from only the 33rd 52w percentile, with P/C 1.07 and SI -10.8% supporting a squeeze into the AI-model catalyst.
- NVDA · Up · medium — Highest conviction print (31%), +4.7% vs EMA20, 89th percentile, beating AMD/AVGO by 9.1pp, and IV30 41.1% below RV20 45.4% (-4.3 pts) — cheap optionality plus the $12.93B Hugging Face nod; Stevens' ~1.5M-share sales are the offset.
- TSLA · Down · medium — +5.42% on 1.82x RVOL against 0% conviction is a Cybercab demo print, not a re-rate; ATM straddle balanced ($15.00/$15.14) and only 39th percentile — fade the gap.
Catalysts to Watch
- August nonfarm payrolls: a hot print lifts the 10Y off 4.79% and compresses multiples across all seven simultaneously.
- AI model leapfrog headlines and NVDA's $99B investment book / $500B financing deal — accelerants for NVDA/META/MSFT, pressure on GOOGL sentiment.
- WTI +17.4% over 21d and copper +1.30% keep input-cost pressure on TSLA margins.
Risks
- VIX 15.20 is complacency, not safety; a payrolls shock breaks the low-vol regime and invalidates every long call at once.
- Hyperscaler CapEx was unavailable this refresh while the feed asserts 5/5 cutting QoQ — treat that cut claim as unverified; TSMC levels print zero, only YoY usable.
Hypothetical next-session read from tape + desk synthesis. Not investment advice.